The older sister of President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. is showing up in vice presidential polling, and she’s just as ready to burnish her late father’s legacy. In one recent poll, Senator Imee Marcos placed at 19% of the vote compared to frontrunner and fellow Senator Grace Poe at 27%. Like her brother, Imee has been outspoken in her revisionism towards her father’s tenure as dictator of the Philippines during the martial law era. On her Instagram, she’s taken to writing polemic in defense of her father, stating that she will “never allow” detractors to “besmirch [her father’s] name and ruin his legacy.” With current Vice President Sara Duterte at the top of presidential polling — presidents and vice presidents run separately in the Philippines — a dynastic role reversal could be in store for Filipino politics.

The Philippines last appeared on the Hot List at #8, looking at concerns over President Marcos's planned constitutional changes.

Security has become one of the defining issues of Mexico’s election season, with a spate of killings targeting candidates for office. Seventeen different politicians have been assassinated while campaigning in this cycle, a number that encompasses figures from every major party. President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador himself has attempted to explain the violence, saying drug cartels “make an agreement, and say, ‘this person is going to be mayor,’” before “eliminating” potential threats to their influence. The crisis has factored into criticism towards the incumbent government, as conservative opposition candidate Xochitl Galvez has frequently centered AMLO’s record on security as part of her campaign.

Mexico last appeared on the Hot List at #7, with barbs lobbed during a presidential debate.

A new poll for the Sao Paulo mayoral election gives left-wing candidate Guilherme Boulos a clear chance to win. In a poll from AtlasIntel, not only does Boulos clock in at first place, but left-wing candidates overall amount to a majority. While first round results may not guarantee Boulos a win in the run-off — indeed, the same poll shows the second round in a virtual tie — the situation represents a drastic shift compared to 2020, when Boulos ran 12 points behind in the first round, and fell short by nearly 20 points in the run-off. Boulos, a socialist, was celebrated by left-wing outlets like Jacobin during that campaign.

Brazil last appeared on the Hot List at #6, looking at Elon Musk's intervention in politics.

Taiwan is wrestling over the legacy of Chiang Kai-shek, with the incumbent Democratic People’s Party planning to remove statues built in his honor. Taiwan’s modern origins go back to Chiang's flight to the island after his defeat, a move that was followed by wide-scale violent repression known as the White Terror. In the decades that followed, Chiang’s government committed massacres such as the 228 Incident, which is commemorated annually and retains the status of “one of Taiwan’s darkest moments in history.” More than 750 statues have been marked for removal by the DPP government, but remnants of Chiang’s legacy remain in Taiwanese politics, including apologia within his historical party, the Kuomintang. And though his lineage is the subject of controversy, Chiang’s “great-grandson” was elected mayor of the capital Taipei just over a year ago.

Taiwan last appeared on the Hot List at #1, after a vice presidential candidate's bombastic remarks on cross-strait relations that somehow involved Taylor Swift.

North Macedonia’s presidential election will feature a familiar run-off matchup, though the results of the first round point towards a clear political shift. Gordana Siljanovska-Davkova, who campaigned in the last election against the country’s name change to North Macedonia, placed first by a significant margin, and could be well-positioned to win the run-off. However, while the major opposition coalition only took 20% of the vote to her 40%, Siljanovska-Davkova’s other opponents — including candidates for ethnic Albanian parties — could prove decisive to the final outcome. It may be her election to lose, but those voters could hypothetically mobilize in an attempt to stop an avowed right-wing nationalist.

This is North Macedonia's first appearance on the Hot List.

Pro-independence parties in Catalonia will fight to hang on to their majority in an upcoming snap election. The vote will cap off a recent run of elections for regions in Spain with significant separatist factions, following Galicia and Basque Country votes this year. Catalonia’s Socialist Party, led by former national Health Minister Salvador Illa, places first according to polls, but prospects for government formation would be unclear in the event of a shift away from independentists. Separatist leader Carles Puigdemont, still in exile amid an amnesty deal with Spain’s government, is running for Catalan premier in this election, with a plan to “reignite separatism.”

Spain last appeared on the Hot List at #3, with an overview of Basque regional election results.

Support for New York City mayor Eric Adams is sinking, with 73% of voters disapproving of his tenure in a recent survey. With the next mayoral election just a year away, polls like these might actually matter. Some 65% declared they’d back another candidate, although if Adams ends up securing the Democratic nomination, those numbers should be taken with a grain of salt in a city that has trended strongly blue over recent cycles. But that primary could be Adams’ vulnerability, and if potential heavy-hitters decide to run — like last election’s close runner-up, Kathryn Garcia — the mayor’s bizarre rants and corruption scandals might end up scuttling him for good.

The USA last appeared on the Hot List at #9, with the shotgun vigilante claims of a North Dakota gubernatorial candidate.

Croatian conservatives are mulling a deal with the far-right in order to retain power. Governing since 2016 with the support of smaller parties, the HDZ party led by Prime Minister Andrej Plenkovic appears likely to seek out the Homeland Movement, which was founded for the last election by nationalist pop singer Miroslav Skoro. However, Croatia’s ethnic minority parties, which previously supported the independent government, could withhold their assent from a government including nationalists, contributing to further polarization of the country.

Croatia last appeared on the Hot List at #6, with its president's attempted political power play.

Tunisia’s dictator will look to extend his rule with a presidential election slated for this fall — almost certainly to be seen as a sham given the dismal record of previous elections under his rule. Already news outlets are reporting on growing repression in the country, with a drumbeat of arrests of government critics since President Kais Saied cemented his 2021 “self-coup” through a constitutional referendum. Far from its one-time status as one of the only lasting democratic outcomes from the 2011 Arab Spring, there appears to be no question surrounding whether Saied’s tenure will be renewed.

This is Tunisia's first appearance on the Hot List.